Lightning vs. Avalanche odds, prediction: 2022 Stanley Cup Final picks, Game 3 bets from expert on 136-71 run

The Tampa Bay Lightning had eight days off after sweeping the Presidents’ Trophy-winning Florida Panthers in the second round of the 2022 Stanley Cup Playoffs and looked a bit out of sorts while losing the first two games of the Eastern Conference final against the New York Rangers. An eight-day layoff after sweeping the Edmonton Oilers in the Western Conference final did not faze the Colorado Avalanche, however, as they have stormed out to a 2-0 lead in the 2022 Stanley Cup Final behind an overtime win in the opener and a dominant 7-0 triumph in Game 2. Seeking their first championship since 2001 as they hope to end Tampa Bay’s two-year reign, the Avalanche attempt to push the Lightning to the brink of elimination as the best-of-seven series shifts to Tampa Bay for Game 3 on Monday. The Lightning have won seven straight at home this postseason while the Avalanche are a perfect 7-0 on the road.

Opening faceoff at Amalie Arena is set for 8 p.m. ET. Tampa Bay is a -115 favorite (risk $115 to win $100) in the latest Lightning vs. Avalanche odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while Colorado is a -105 underdog. The over-under for total goals scored is six. Before making any Avalanche vs. Lightning picks or 2022 Stanley Cup Final predictions, you need to see what SportsLine expert Matt Severance has to say.

Severance is a well-connected writer and handicapper who has worked in the industry since 2005. He is SportsLine’s top NHL handicapper, going 136-71-4 in his last 211 NHL picks and returning well over $2,900 for $100 players. Anyone who has followed him is way up.

Now, he has set his sights on Avs vs. Lightning. You can visit SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are the NHL odds and betting trends for Lightning vs. Avs: 

  • Lightning vs. Avalanche money line: Colorado -105, Tampa Bay -115
  • Lightning vs. Avalanche over-under: 6 goals
  • Lightning vs. Avalanche puck line: Tampa Bay -1.5 (+220)
  • Lightning vs. Avalanche tickets: See tickets at StubHub
  • COL: The Avalanche are 7-0 on the road this postseason
  • TB: The Lightning have allowed a total of five goals in their last five home games

Featured Game | Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Colorado Avalanche

Why the Lightning can win 

Home-ice advantage has been huge for Tampa Bay this postseason as it has won seven straight at Amalie Arena after losing to Toronto 5-2 in Game 3 of their first-round series. The Lightning have been stingy in their own building since that setback, allowing a total of 11 goals during their winning streak and only five over the last five contests. Nikita Kucherov, who led the league in scoring each of the previous two postseasons, is tied for third this time around with 24 points in 19 games.

Prior to Saturday’s shutout loss, the 29-year-old Russian right wing recorded a six-game point streak during which he registered three goals and six assists. Kucherov has been the NHL’s top playoff producer since 2014 as he leads the league in tallies (51), assists (100) and points over the stretch. He is first in team history with 17 career points in the Stanley Cup Final and needs one goal to tie Ondrej Palat (six) for most goals by a member of the Lightning.

Why the Avalanche can win 

Colorado, which was fourth in the NHL during the regular season with 308 goals, leads the league with 76 this postseason. The Avalanche have lived up to their name in the opening period of the 2022 Stanley Cup Final, scoring three times over the first 20 minutes in each of the first two games. They are the third team in history to accomplish the feat, joining the 1936 Detroit Red Wings and 1981 New York Islanders.

Cale Makar leads Colorado’s explosive offense as he is tied for third in the league with 24 points this postseason. The Norris Trophy finalist became the second defenseman in league history (Glen Wesley, 1988) to record both a short-handed and power-play goal in the same Stanley Cup Final game when he accomplished the feat on Saturday. The 23-year-old Makar, who made his NHL debut in the 2019 postseason, has amassed 55 points in 51 career playoff games.

How to make Lightning vs. Avalanche picks

Severance has analyzed Game 3 of Avalanche vs. Lightning from every angle and is leaning over on the total. He’s also found a critical x-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the money line. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Lightning vs. Avalanche in Game 3 of the 2022 Stanley Cup Final? And which critical x-factor makes one side hit hard? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Avalanche vs. Lightning money line to jump on, all from the expert who has crushed his NHL picks, and find out.

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